SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
37.86% ( 0.24) | 28.44% ( 0.13) | 33.7% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.01% ( -0.49) | 59.99% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.77% ( -0.37) | 80.23% ( 0.37) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.09) | 30.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( -0.11) | 66.82% ( 0.11) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -0.51) | 33.26% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( -0.56) | 69.87% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.69% |
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