SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
48.08% ( -0.43) | 26% ( 0.36) | 25.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% ( -1.33) | 53.95% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( -1.13) | 75.4% ( 1.13) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.74) | 22.45% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( -1.12) | 55.99% ( 1.12) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.66) | 35.95% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( -0.68) | 72.73% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 25.92% |
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