SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 28 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 27 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Boston River | 27 | 10 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | River Plate | 26 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 26 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Montevideo Wanderers | 27 | 7 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
45.78% ( 0.02) | 27.33% ( -0.02) | 26.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% ( 0.05) | 58.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% ( 0.04) | 78.88% ( -0.04) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.03) | 25.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 0.05) | 60.21% ( -0.05) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( 0.02) | 37.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( 0.02) | 74.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 26.88% |
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