Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
