SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Danubio win it is 0-1 (5.58%).
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
61.45% ( -3.21) | 21.99% ( 1.31) | 16.56% ( 1.9) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -2.01) | 48.68% ( 2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -1.86) | 70.79% ( 1.85) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( -1.66) | 15.34% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.9% ( -3.2) | 44.1% ( 3.2) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.4% ( 1.33) | 42.6% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.05% ( 1.12) | 78.95% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.71)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.56)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.3)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.21% Total : 61.45% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.69% Total : 16.56% |
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