Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.