SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Progreso in this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Boston River |
42.67% ( -0.14) | 26.28% ( 0.05) | 31.04% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.18) | 52.41% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( -0.15) | 74.09% ( 0.15) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( -0.15) | 24.35% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( -0.21) | 58.74% ( 0.21) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.03) | 31.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( -0.04) | 67.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progreso | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.04% |
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