SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro |
37.38% ( 0.08) | 29.91% ( 0) | 32.71% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.18% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.03% ( -0.02) | 64.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.13% ( -0.01) | 83.86% ( 0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( 0.04) | 33.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( 0.05) | 70.06% ( -0.05) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.07) | 36.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% ( -0.07) | 73.41% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.71% |
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