SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Danubio |
32.98% ( -0.78) | 27.86% ( 1.02) | 39.15% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.88% ( -3.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% ( -4.07) | 57.99% ( 4.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( -3.31) | 78.68% ( 3.31) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -2.59) | 32.71% ( 2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -2.99) | 69.26% ( 2.99) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( -2.08) | 28.83% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( -2.66) | 64.69% ( 2.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 1.37)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.49)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 1.11) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.15% |
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