SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
43.42% ( 0.33) | 24.48% ( 0.03) | 32.1% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.26) | 44.23% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( -0.25) | 66.61% ( 0.25) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.04) | 20.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( 0.06) | 52.97% ( -0.06) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.34) | 26.44% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.46) | 61.61% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.1% |
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