Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
