Caernarfon
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
32.29%	24.07%	43.63%

Both teams to score 60.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72%

42.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31%

64.68%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63%

25.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83%

60.17%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41%

19.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47%

51.53%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 32.29%

Pen-y-Bont 43.63%

Draw 24.07%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.14% Total : 43.63%