Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.07% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() | 18.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.1% (![]() | 53.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.64% (![]() | 75.35% (![]() |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.26% (![]() | 18.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.88% (![]() | 50.12% (![]() |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.01% (![]() | 42.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.72% (![]() | 79.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
1-0 @ 13.49% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.8% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.77% |
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