Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
54.05% ( 0.15)	23.76% ( -0.05)	22.19% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

0.08)

48.27% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

0.07)

70.42% (

-0.07)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

0.09)

17.77% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53% (

0.15)

48.47% (

-0.15)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.83% (

-0.05)

36.17% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.04% (

-0.05)

72.95% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 54.04%

Aberystwyth Town 22.19%

Draw 23.76%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.04%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.19%