After thrashing the European champions last week, we think that Arsenal will cruise to a sixth consecutive victory when they face Zurich on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Zurich Women had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Zurich Women win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Zurich Women
50.18% ( 0.08)	24.33% ( -0)	25.5% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.06)

47.5% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

-0.06)

69.71% (

0.05)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

0.01)

18.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

0.01)

50.49% (

-0.02)

Zurich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

-0.1)

32.82% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.61% (

-0.11)

69.39% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 50.17%

Zurich Women 25.5%

Draw 24.32%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Zurich Women
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.17%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.5%