SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Italy Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belgium Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Italy Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belgium Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Italy Women had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.71%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Italy Women win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France Women | Draw | Italy Women |
46.24% ( 0) | 21.44% ( -0.03) | 32.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 69.98% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.75% ( 0.2) | 29.26% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.24) | 50.29% ( -0.23) |
| France Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( 0.08) | 13.5% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.48% ( 0.15) | 40.52% ( -0.14) |
| Italy Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( 0.11) | 19.1% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.28% ( 0.19) | 50.72% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| France Women | Draw | Italy Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.33% |
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