SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
62.86% ( 5.27) | 21.27% ( -1.25) | 15.87% ( -4.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( -3.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( -1.02) | 46.89% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.96) | 69.14% ( 0.96) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 1.36) | 14.3% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.89% ( 2.58) | 42.12% ( -2.57) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( -5.31) | 42.42% ( 5.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( -4.9) | 78.8% ( 4.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 1.48)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.44% ( 1.26)3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.75)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.3)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.85% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.69)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.96)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.51)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.42)Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.87% |
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