Arsenal cruised to a 4-0 victory when the two sides met in November, and while Leicester have improved since that result, we think that the Gunners will prove too strong once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 91.5%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 2.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.53%) and 2-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.96%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Leicester Women
91.5% ( 0)	6.23% ( -0)	2.26%

Both teams to score 38.79% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.07% (

0.02)

21.93% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.2% (

0.03)

40.79% (

-0.03)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.33% (

2.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.66% (

0.01)

12.33% (

-0.01)

Leicester Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.85% (

0.03)

60.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.27% (

0.02)

90.72% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 91.49%

Leicester Women 2.26%

Draw 6.23%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Leicester Women
3-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 11.53% 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 6-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 7-0 @ 2.62% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 8-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 91.49%	1-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 6.23%	Other @ 2.26% Total : 2.26%