Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
32.1% ( 0.25)	24.35% ( 0.02)	43.55% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 58.94% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

0.02)

43.64% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96% (

0.02)

66.03% (

-0.02)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

0.17)

26.15% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

0.22)

61.22% (

-0.22)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

-0.11)

20.19% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

-0.17)

52.49% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 32.1%

Arsenal Women 43.55%

Draw 24.35%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.1%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.55%