SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA Women | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Portugal Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Vietnam Women | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA Women | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Portugal Women | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Vietnam Women | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands Women | Draw | Portugal Women |
72.78% ( 0.5) | 16.1% ( -0.21) | 11.11% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.22) | 34.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.25) | 55.99% ( -0.25) |
| Netherlands Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( 0.16) | 8.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.48% ( 0.41) | 28.52% ( -0.4) |
| Portugal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( -0.34) | 41.37% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( -0.31) | 77.88% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands Women | Draw | Portugal Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.78% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.11% |
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