SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland Women | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Norway Women | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | New Zealand Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Philippines Women | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Zambia Women | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 4 | Costa Rica Women | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Switzerland Women had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Switzerland Women win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland Women | Draw | Spain Women |
17.73% ( 1.07) | 21.65% ( 1.39) | 60.62% ( -2.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -2.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( -4.35) | 45.29% ( 4.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( -4.3) | 67.63% ( 4.3) |
| Switzerland Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% ( -1.33) | 39.15% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.14% ( -1.27) | 75.86% ( 1.28) |
| Spain Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( -2.11) | 14.48% ( 2.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.53% ( -4.24) | 42.46% ( 4.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland Women | Draw | Spain Women |
| 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.14% Total : 17.73% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.76) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.99)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 1.17) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( 0.37)1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.53)0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.37)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.31)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.28)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.61% |
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