SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Uruguay |
73.23% ( -0.1) | 18.3% ( 0.4) | 8.48% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 36.17% ( -2.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -2.41) | 52.03% ( 2.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -2.12) | 73.76% ( 2.12) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( -0.73) | 12.79% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.92% ( -1.52) | 39.08% ( 1.52) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.48% ( -2.18) | 58.52% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.12% ( -1.21) | 89.88% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Uruguay |
| 2-0 @ 15.82% ( 0.62) 1-0 @ 15.39% ( 1.02)3-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.26)5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.21% Total : 73.22% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.3% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.19% Total : 8.48% |
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