Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 38.98%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Benin had a probability of 30.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 1-2 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
