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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2021 at 2am UK
 
BN

Chile
0 - 1
Brazil


Andres Morales Bravo (79'), Pulgar (82'), Vegas (87'), Maripan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ribeiro (64')
Guimaraes (45+2'), Marquinhos (84'), Gerson (90+3'), Neymar (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawBrazil
26.11%22.47%51.41%
Both teams to score 61.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11%60.89%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.15%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.81%15.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.19%43.81%
Score Analysis
    Chile 26.11%
    Brazil 51.41%
    Draw 22.47%
ChileDrawBrazil
2-1 @ 6.54%
1-0 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 3.47%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 1.49%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.45%
1-3 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.21%
2-4 @ 1.83%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.41%

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