SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 37.41% | 25.27% | 37.32% |
| Both teams to score 56.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% | 46.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% | 69.14% |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% | 24.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% | 59.11% |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% | 24.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% | 59.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.32% |
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