SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chinese Taipei win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for East Timor had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chinese Taipei win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a East Timor win it was 2-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chinese Taipei would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Timor | Draw | Chinese Taipei |
16.47% ( 0.27) | 20.2% ( 0.46) | 63.33% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( -1.64) | 41.06% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( -1.69) | 63.45% ( 1.69) |
| East Timor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0.67) | 38.12% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% ( -0.65) | 74.88% ( 0.65) |
| Chinese Taipei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( -0.69) | 12.34% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.84% ( -1.47) | 38.16% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Timor | Draw | Chinese Taipei |
| 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 16.47% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.2% | 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.32% |
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