Canada have been slaying their past dragons time and again in this qualifying campaign, and given their depth in the final third, not to mention a goalkeeper at the top of his game, we expect to see them triumph for a sixth successive encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 29.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a El Salvador win it was 1-0 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Canada in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Canada.
