Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for England had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest England win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.1) 
