SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Namibia |
39.83% ( 1.43) | 33.43% ( 0.26) | 26.74% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 32.74% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.87% ( -0.92) | 75.13% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.66% ( -0.54) | 90.34% ( 0.53) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% ( 0.38) | 37.55% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% ( 0.38) | 74.33% ( -0.38) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.44% ( -2.09) | 47.56% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.09% ( -1.6) | 82.91% ( 1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 17.49% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.83% | 0-0 @ 17.86% ( 0.61) 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.2% Total : 33.43% | 0-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.42)1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.36)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.28% Total : 26.73% |
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