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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
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Ghana
1 - 0
Ethiopia

Wakaso (35')
Wakaso (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bekele Godo (44'), Endashaw Zewide (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match.

Result
GhanaDrawEthiopia
47.21%25.77%27.02%
Both teams to score 51.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66%52.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97%74.02%
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83%22.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43%55.56%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.86%
Score Analysis
    Ghana 47.2%
    Ethiopia 27.02%
    Draw 25.77%
GhanaDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 47.2%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.02%

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