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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
IN

N. Macedonia
3 - 1
Iceland

Alioski (7'), Elmas (65', 87')
Dimitrievski (29'), Kostadinov (45+1'), Elmas (73'), Miovski (83'), Ristovski (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawIceland
50.15%25.57%24.27%
Both teams to score 49.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45%53.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.06%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62%21.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64%54.36%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.95%
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 50.14%
    Iceland 24.27%
    Draw 25.57%
North MacedoniaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 50.14%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.27%

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