SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw has a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mauritania has a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Mauritania win it is 1-0 (9.55%).
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Senegal |
25.68% ( 5.67) | 27.78% ( 2.99) | 46.53% ( -8.66) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.54% ( -5.7) | 60.46% ( 5.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.41% ( -4.52) | 80.58% ( 4.52) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.24% ( 2.34) | 39.76% ( -2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.57% ( 2.09) | 76.43% ( -2.09) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( -6.25) | 26.04% ( 6.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( -9.23) | 61.08% ( 9.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 2.34) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.88)2-0 @ 4.4% ( 1.29)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 1.17) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 2.02)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -1.56)1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.82)0-3 @ 4.2% ( -1.7)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -1.23)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.42)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.98)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.77)Other @ 2% Total : 46.53% |
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