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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
LN

Nigeria
2 - 0
Liberia

Iheanacho (22', 44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Njie (43'), Soumaoro (60'), (65'), Dweh (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawLiberia
57.19%24.01%18.79%
Both teams to score 46.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.68%53.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13%74.87%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32%49.67%
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37%42.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02%78.97%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 57.17%
    Liberia 18.79%
    Draw 24.01%
NigeriaDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 13.29%
2-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 5.39%
4-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 0.97%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 7.87%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 18.79%

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