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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Ilie Oană
NM

Romania
3 - 2
N. Macedonia

Tanase (28'), Mihaila (50'), Hagi (86')
Mihaila (41'), Bancu (59'), Maxim (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ademi (82'), Trajkovski (83')
Nikolov (36'), Pandev (45+1'), Alioski (72'), Stojanovski (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawNorth Macedonia
51.39%24.95%23.66%
Both teams to score 50.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37%51.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58%73.41%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67%52.32%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33%36.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55%73.45%
Score Analysis
    Romania 51.38%
    North Macedonia 23.66%
    Draw 24.95%
RomaniaDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9.49%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.39%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.66%

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