Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
