Somalia did extremely well to score against Algeria last time out, and we believe that the Ocean Stars will be able to give Uganda a tough test on Tuesday night.
The Cranes will be keenly aware that meetings with Somalia are must-win matches if they are to compete at the top end of the section, and we are expecting the visitors to come out on top.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 1.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-2 with a probability of 20.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (18.75%) and 0-1 (14.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.23%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.
-0.14) 
0.47) 
