We said: Venezuela 0-1 Bolivia
Bolivia - looking to put themselves in top-four contention - will be full of confidence due to their impressive run of form, and we are expecting the visitors to triumph on Friday. Venezuela are capable of making this a tight match, though, so we are only backing a 1-0 Bolivia win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
