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VN
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 12pm UK
 
JN

Vietnam
0 - 1
Japan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ito (17')
Morita (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
VietnamDrawJapan
28.72%23.08%48.2%
Both teams to score 61.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57%39.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23%61.77%
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77%26.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67%61.33%
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36%16.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52%46.47%
Score Analysis
    Vietnam 28.72%
    Japan 48.2%
    Draw 23.07%
VietnamDrawJapan
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 5.84%
2-0 @ 3.91%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.72%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-1 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 5.62%
0-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.52%
0-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.2%

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