Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Sandhausen win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.