Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.