SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jahn Regensburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | SSV Ulm |
56.62% ( 0.16) | 22.67% ( -0.03) | 20.71% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.01) | 45.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.01) | 67.72% ( 0.01) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( 0.05) | 15.82% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( 0.09) | 44.99% ( -0.09) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.13) | 35.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.23% ( -0.14) | 72.76% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | SSV Ulm |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.71% |
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