Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
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0.01) 
