SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 44.7% | 24.88% | 30.42% |
| Both teams to score 56.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% | 46.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% | 20.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% | 28.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.42% |
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