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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 9
Aug 30, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Sonera Stadium

HJK Helsinki
6 - 1
Mariehamn

Riski (8', 73'), Tanaka (11'), Riski (28', 41'), Okoye (68' og.)
Djalo (9'), Alho (14'), Tanaka (77')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Ademi (10')
Pelvas (60'), Backaliden (90+1')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and IFK Mariehamn.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawIFK Mariehamn
65.16%20.52%14.33%
Both teams to score 48.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35%46.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08%68.93%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47%13.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.41%40.59%
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6%44.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55%80.46%
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 65.15%
    IFK Mariehamn 14.33%
    Draw 20.52%
HJK HelsinkiDrawIFK Mariehamn
2-0 @ 12.02%
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 6.51%
4-0 @ 4.01%
4-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.64%
5-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 65.15%
1-1 @ 9.76%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.52%
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 14.33%


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