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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 16
Jul 1, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Tammela Stadium

Ilves
4 - 3
Mariehamn

Ala-Myllymaki (51'), Jair (65'), Fofana (66'), Tamminen (80')
Ala-Myllymaki (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ademi (21'), Fofana (62' og.), Karlstrom (90+1')
Maenpaa (39'), Makrillos (48')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and IFK Mariehamn.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawIFK Mariehamn
57.57%23.82%18.61%
Both teams to score 47.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19%52.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56%74.44%
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85%18.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88%49.12%
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46%42.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1%78.9%
Score Analysis
    Ilves 57.56%
    IFK Mariehamn 18.61%
    Draw 23.82%
IlvesDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 18.61%


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