Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Turku in this match.