SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 22.39% | 21.39% | 56.21% |
| Both teams to score 60.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.39% | 59.62% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% | 29.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.99% | 66.01% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% | 13.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.98% | 40.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% 1-0 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.01% Total : 22.39% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 8.01% 1-3 @ 6.59% 0-3 @ 5.46% 2-3 @ 3.97% 1-4 @ 3.33% 0-4 @ 2.76% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.77% Total : 56.22% |
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