SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 42.3% | 23.13% | 34.57% |
| Both teams to score 64.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.01% | 36.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.82% | 59.18% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% | 17.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.15% | 48.85% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% | 21.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.32% | 54.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.85% Total : 42.3% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.61% Total : 34.57% |
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