Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for AMGK had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest AMGK win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%).