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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2020 at 7pm UK
King Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
2 - 1
Pakhtakor

Giovinco (45+2'), Babhir (90+7')
Al-Shahrani (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Derdiyok (70')
Ceran (81'), Ismailov (90'), Komilov (90+3')
Suyunov (64')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Hilal and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
52.45%23.52%24.03%
Both teams to score 55.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.66%45.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.32%67.67%
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39%47.6%
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12%32.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54%69.45%
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 52.45%
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 24.03%
    Draw 23.52%
Al-HilalDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.45%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.68%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.03%


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